Cardiovascular Outcomes Associated with GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Obese Adults Without Diabetes: A Propensity-Matched Real-World Study
Abstract Body (Do not enter title and authors here): Background: Obesity is a well-established risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) and adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs), initially developed for glycemic control, have shown promise in reducing cardiovascular risk independent of diabetes. However, their effect on arrhythmic and cardiovascular outcomes in non-diabetic obese populations remains poorly defined.
Research Question: In obese adults without diabetes, does GLP-1 RA therapy reduce the 1-year incidence of atrial fibrillation, mortality, heart failure, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) compared to standard care?
Methods: We utilized the TriNetX US Collaborative Network to identify adults ≥18 years with obesity and no history of diabetes from 2014–2022. Patients initiating GLP-1 RAs formed the treatment cohort. Controls were patients with obesity and no GLP-1 RA exposure. One-to-one propensity score matching (n=118,781 per group) was performed on demographics, cardiovascular comorbidities, and medication use. Outcomes were assessed at 1 year, excluding patients with pre-existing conditions. The primary outcome was incident AF while secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure (HF), and three-point major adverse cardiovascular events (3P-MACE: acute MI, stroke, cardiac arrest).
Results: GLP-1 RA use was associated with significant reductions across all endpoints: Atrial Fibrillation: 0.4% vs 0.7% (RR 0.605 [95% CI 0.542–0.675]; HR 0.563 [95% CI 0.504–0.628]; p<0.001); Mortality: 0.2% vs 1.0%, (RR 0.203 [95% CI 0.177–0.232]; HR 0.190 [95% CI 0.165–0.218]; p<0.001); Heart Failure: 0.6% vs 1.2% (RR 0.479 [95% CI 0.438–0.525]; HR 0.446 [95% CI 0.407–0.489]; p<0.001); 3P-MACE: 0.4% vs 0.9% (RR 0.429 [95% CI 0.384–0.480]; HR 0.399 [95% CI 0.357–0.446]; p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival curves confirmed significantly higher event-free survival in the GLP-1 RA cohort for all endpoints. No increase in AF subtypes (paroxysmal, persistent, chronic) was observed. Propensity-matching yielded well-balanced cohorts across age, sex, race, comorbidities, and medication exposure.
Conclusion: Among obese adults without diabetes, GLP-1 RA was associated with a substantial reduction in new-onset AF, all-cause mortality, HF, and MACE at one year. These findings support a potential role for GLP-1 RAs in primary cardiovascular prevention in obesity, beyond their metabolic benefits, and underscore the need for dedicated randomized controlled trials.
Hassan, Abdulraheem
( Saint Peter's University hospital
, New Brunswick
, New Jersey
, United States
)
Okorigba, Efeturi
( West Virginia University
, Morgantown
, West Virginia
, United States
)
Olayiwola, Olalekan
( Saint Peter's University hospital
, New Brunswick
, New Jersey
, United States
)
Otabor, Emmanuel
( Jefferson Einstein Philadelphia
, Philadelphia
, Pennsylvania
, United States
)
Osineye, Busayo
( Saint Peter's University hospital
, New Brunswick
, New Jersey
, United States
)
Oyeleye, Tutuola
( Saint Peter's University hospital
, New Brunswick
, New Jersey
, United States
)
Manzoor, Adil
( Saint Peter's University hospital
, New Brunswick
, New Jersey
, United States
)
Author Disclosures:
Abdulraheem Hassan:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Efeturi Okorigba:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Olalekan Olayiwola:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Emmanuel Otabor:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Busayo Osineye:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Tutuola Oyeleye:No Answer
| Adil manzoor:No Answer
Oliveira Izadora, Graner Moreira Humberto, De Sousa Andre, Paiva Arthur, Ferreira Vitor, De Sá Carlos Eduardo, Alves Alencar Joao Victor, Alves Alencar Pedro Lucas, Duarte Lima Ana Paula, Oliveira Vinicius