Trends in Heart Failure Mortality Among Patients With Standard Modifiable Cardiovascular Risk Factors: A Retrospective Analysis (1999–2020)
Abstract Body: Background: Heart failure (HF) is a major cause of mortality in the U.S., responsible for 45% of cardiovascular deaths. Studies indicate that 85-90% of HF patients have at least one Standard Modifiable Cardiovascular Risk Factor (SMuRF), including hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, or smoking. Research Question: How have mortality trends in HF patients with underlying SMuRFs evolved across demographic and geographic groups? Aim: To evaluate disparities in HF mortality trends across demographic and regional factors to inform preventive strategies. Methodology: A retrospective analysis of CDC-WONDER data (1999–2020) examined HF (I50) mortality with SMuRFs (HTN, DM, dyslipidemia, smoking) in individuals aged ≥55 years. Mortality trends were assessed using Joinpoint Regression, calculating AAMR and APC with p<0.05 as significant. Results: HF with SMuRFs contributed to 136,304 deaths, AAMR 8.6. Mortality surged post-2010 in both genders (APC: males 2.58% [95% CI: 1.93–3.72, p<0.001], females 2.24% [95% CI: 1.24–3.94, p<0.001]). Hispanics and non-Hispanics had significant increases from 1999-2006 and 2009-2020. African Americans (2011-2020) and whites (2015-2020) showed rising trends (APC: 3.33%, 3.88%). The South (CENS-R3) and West (CENS-R4) had increasing mortality post-2010, with Mississippi and Oklahoma showing the highest AAMRs (31.6, 21.5), emphasizing stark geographic disparities that highlight the need for targeted public health interventions and policy changes. Conclusion: Despite overall declines, disparities persist, with post-2010 mortality surges in several groups, underscoring the need for targeted interventions.
Abdul Malik, Mohammad Hamza Bin
( Nassau University Medical Center
, East Meadow
, New York
, United States
)
Haq, Ali
( The Valley Health System Consortium
, Las Vagas
, Nevada
, United States
)
Hassan, Arbaz
( Sheikh Zayed Medical College
, Rahim Yar Khan
, Pakistan
)
Jehangir, Hanzala
( Sheikh Zayed Medical College
, Bahawalpur
, Pakistan
)
Abdul Malik, Muhammad Awais Bin
( Sheikh Zayed Medical College
, Rahim Yar Khan
, Pakistan
)
Arham, Muhammad
( Sheikh Zayed Medical College, RYK
, Rahim Yar Khan
, Pakistan
)
Hamza, Anfal
( Sheikh Zayed Medical College, RYK
, Rahim Yar Khan
, Pakistan
)
Ihsan, Ayesha
( University Medical And Dental Colleg
, Faisalabad
, Pakistan
)
., Abdullah
( Rawalpindi Medical University
, Rawalpindi
, Pakistan
)
Eltawansy, Sherif
( Jersey Shore UMC
, Monroe
, New Jersey
, United States
)
Author Disclosures:
Mohammad Hamza Bin Abdul Malik:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Ali Haq:No Answer
| Arbaz Hassan:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Hanzala Jehangir:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Muhammad Awais Bin Abdul Malik:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Muhammad Arham:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Anfal Hamza:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Ayesha Ihsan:No Answer
| Abdullah .:No Answer
| Sherif Eltawansy:No Answer
Hamza Anfal, Jehangir Hanzala, Ihsan Ayesha, Abdul Malik Mohammad Hamza Bin, Eltawansy Sherif, Abdul Malik Muhammad Awais Bin, Aziz Ahmad, Hassan Arbaz, Shehryar Farah, Sheraz Zohaib, Sanwal Muhammad, Tayyab Rana Hamza, Arham Muhammad