Abstract Body (Do not enter title and authors here): Problem Statement The prognostic value of troponin elevation in septic ICU patients without known history of cardiac disease remains unclear, particularly after accounting for overall illness severity.
Background Minor troponin rises are frequent during sepsis, yet clinicians still lack a clear cut-point that signals danger once cardiac disease is ruled out. We asked whether a modest increase in troponin-T predicts in-hospital death beyond global illness severity. Methods We studied 1 221 adult first ICU stays labelled “sepsis” in the eICU Collaborative Research Database and removed any case with a cardiac admission diagnosis. Implausible or missing laboratory values were imputed by multiple imputation. Hospital mortality was modelled with logistic regression that included troponin (a continuous and a binary model with threshold > 0.04 ng/mL) together with age, sex, lactate, albumin, BUN, creatinine, intubation status, vasopressor use, dialysis requirement and APACHE-IV predicted mortality. A natural-spline model explored non-linear behavior. Findings were checked in a 1:1 propensity-matched cohort.
Results Overall mortality was 11.7%. Troponin exceeded 0.04 ng/mL in 38% of patients. After adjustment for APACHE-IV probability and other covariates, a troponin level > 0.04 ng/mL was associated with almost twice the odds of death (OR ≈ 1.9), whereas the continuous model suggested only a modest trend (OR ≈ 1.1 per ng/mL). The spline curve rose steeply between 0 and 0.10 ng/mL and flattened thereafter, pinpointing an inflection near 0.05 ng/mL. Matching on all measured confounders confirmed that high-troponin patients had about three-fold greater mortality (OR ≈ 2.8, 1.55-5.05; p<0.001), highlighting that even modest troponin elevation is an independent risk marker for death in septic ICU patients. A bedside heat-map combining troponin, albumin and need for intubation illustrated a simple gradient: risk climbs from 2 % in low-troponin, well-albuminised, non-intubated patients to nearly 7 % when troponin exceeds 0.10 ng/mL in intubated, hypo-albuminemic patients.
Conclusions Even modest troponin elevations (> 0.04 ng/mL) independently predict mortality in sepsis after rigorous adjustment and matching on APACHE-IV physiology, lactate, and organ-support variables. This biologic threshold supports incorporating troponin into bedside triage and future septic cardiomyopathy trials.
Khanijo, Aditya
( Saint Vincent Hospital
, Worcester
, Massachusetts
, United States
)
Fernandez, Chrystinne
( MIT
, Arlington
, Massachusetts
, United States
)
Tohyama, Takeshi
( MIT
, Arlington
, Massachusetts
, United States
)
Ganupa, Sneha
( University of North Florida
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Menser, Terri
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Goswami, Rohan
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Bhattacharyya, Anirban
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Moreno Franco, Pablo
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Chaliki, Hari
( Mayo Clinic
, Scottsdale
, Arizona
, United States
)
Ghosh, Saptarshi
( Rosalind Franklin University McHenry Hospital
, Chicago
, Illinois
, United States
)
Corro, Rosa
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Desai, Aarti
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Vergara, Carlos
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Galeano, Santiago
( Mayo Clinic
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Forrest, Marion
( University of North Florida
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Chapman, Anthony
( designory
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Eklund, Selma
( University of North Florida
, Jacksonville
, Florida
, United States
)
Author Disclosures:
Aditya Khanijo:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Chrystinne Fernandes:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Takeshi Tohyama:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Sneha Ganupa:No Answer
| Terri Menser:No Answer
| Rohan Goswami:No Answer
| Anirban Bhattacharyya:No Answer
| Pablo Moreno Franco:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Hari Chaliki:No Answer
| Saptarshi Ghosh:No Answer
| Rosa Corro:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Aarti Desai:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Carlos Vergara:DO NOT have relevant financial relationships
| Santiago Galeano:No Answer
| Marion Forrest:No Answer
| Anthony Chapman:No Answer
| Selma Eklund:No Answer