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American Heart Association

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Final ID: 4146297

Cardiovascular Risk Prediction with the Kidney Failure Risk Equation Among Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: Insights from CRIC

Abstract Body (Do not enter title and authors here): Background
The Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) is an established calculator to predict the risk of kidney failure among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Patients with CKD are more likely to die from cardiovascular (CV) causes than from renal causes, and more likely to experience a non-fatal CV event than to progress to kidney failure. The CV predictive ability of the KFRE among patients with CKD is unclear.

Methods
We investigated the association of the 8-variable (age, sex, urine albumin-creatinine ratio [UACR], estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], serum albumin, serum phosphate, serum bicarbonate, serum calcium) 5-year KFRE with CV disease (CVD) and death among 3,034 patients with CKD (eGFR 15-60 mL/min/1.73m2) in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC). KFRE was modeled continuously and by quartiles. CVD was defined as the composite of heart failure hospitalization, myocardial infarction, or stroke. All-cause mortality was a key secondary endpoint.

Results
Mean eGFR was 39 ±11 mL/min/1.73m2; median UACR was 89 mg/g [25-75th percentile 13, 619]. Median KFRE 5-year score was 0.7% [25-75th percentile 0.2, 2.9]. Five-year event rates for the primary endpoint for the lowest to highest quartiles of KFRE were 11.6%, 17.7%, 25%, and 31% (P<0.001). KFRE score (per 1-unit higher log-transformed KFRE score) was associated with a 27% higher risk of CVD (HR 1.27; 95%CI 1.22, 1.33), and a 24% higher risk of death (HR 1.24; 95%CI 1.19, 1.30). When analyzed by quartiles, higher KFRE was associated with more than a 3-fold higher risk of CVD (HR Q4:Q1 3.31; 95%CI 2.67, 4.10), and more than a 3-fold higher risk of death (HR Q4:Q1 3.28; 95%CI 2.62, 4.11).

Conclusions
Among participants of CRIC, a higher KFRE was associated with a higher risk of CVD and all-cause death. As patients with CKD are at higher risk of both adverse kidney and CV outcomes, this suggests that KFRE could be used as a broad and simple risk-stratification tool for patients with CKD.
  • Correa, Simon  ( Yale , New Haven , Connecticut , United States )
  • Beldhuis, Iris  ( UMCG , Groningen , Netherlands )
  • Neuen, Brendon  ( George Institute for Global Health , Newtown , New South Wales , Australia )
  • Vaduganathan, Muthiah  ( Brigham and Womens Hospital , Boston , Massachusetts , United States )
  • Wilson, F. Perry  ( Yale School of Medicine , New Haven , Connecticut , United States )
  • Mc Causland, Finnian  ( Brigham and Women's Hospital , Boston , Massachusetts , United States )
  • Author Disclosures:
    Simon Correa: DO NOT have relevant financial relationships | Iris Beldhuis: DO have relevant financial relationships ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):Dutch Heart Foundation:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):Novartis:Active (exists now) | Brendon Neuen: DO have relevant financial relationships ; Consultant:AstraZeneca:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):Menarini:Expected (by end of conference) ; Consultant:Travere Therapeutics:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Novo Nordisk:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Boehringer and Ingelheim:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Bayer:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Alexion:Active (exists now) | Muthiah Vaduganathan: DO have relevant financial relationships ; Researcher:received research grant support, served on advisory boards, or had speaker engagements with American Regent, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer AG, Baxter Healthcare, BMS, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, Cytokinetics, Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, Merck, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Pharmacosmos, Relypsa, Roche Diagnostics, Sanofi, and Tricog Health, and participates on clinical trial committees for studies sponsored by AstraZeneca, Galmed, Novartis, Bayer AG, Occlutech, and Impulse Dynamics:Active (exists now) | F. Perry Wilson: DO have relevant financial relationships ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):NIDDK:Active (exists now) ; Executive Role:Efference LLC:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Hekaheart:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Aura Care:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):Whoop:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):Amgen:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):DOD:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):AHRQ:Active (exists now) | Finnian Mc Causland: DO have relevant financial relationships ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):Lexicon:Active (exists now) ; Other (please indicate in the box next to the company name):Rubin-Anders Scientific (expert witness):Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Zydus:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:GSK:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):NIDDK:Active (exists now) ; Research Funding (PI or named investigator):Novartis:Active (exists now)
Meeting Info:

Scientific Sessions 2024

2024

Chicago, Illinois

Session Info:

Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Health- From Bench to Bedside

Saturday, 11/16/2024 , 01:30PM - 02:45PM

Abstract Oral Session

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