Abstract Body (Do not enter title and authors here): Background: A broad P wave in electrocardiography reflects atrial remodeling and is associated with cardiovascular events. Although there are several reports on the association between a broad P wave and cardiovascular events, the association between automatically assessed P-wave duration and cardiovascular events in cardiovascular high-risk patients has not been clarified.
Hypothesis: We hypothesized that a greater automatically assessed P-wave duration would be associated with cardiovascular events in patients with cardiovascular risk factors.
Methods: We included 4,654 patients with access to automated electrocardiography (ECG) analysis of those in the Cardiovascular Prognostic Coupling Study in Japan (a registry of subjects with one or more cardiovascular risk factors, excluding patients with atrial fibrillation). Twelve-lead ECG was conducted, and the P-wave duration in each lead was analyzed automatically using the 12-lead ECG Analysis system (Fukuda Denshi, Tokyo). We selected the maximum P wave duration (Pmax) among the 12 leads. The primary endpoint was a composite endpoint (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction/stroke), and the secondary endpoint was heart failure hospitalization. We assessed two P-wave cut-offs (Pmax ≥ 140, 150 msec) in relation to cardiovascular events.
Results: There were 218 patients with Pmax ≥140 ms and 123 patients with Pmax ≥150 ms. N-Terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was significantly higher in patients with Pmax ≥140 ms than in those with Pmax <140 ms (median 134.0 vs. 65.7 pg/mL, p<0.001). NT-ProBNP was also higher in patients with Pmax ≥150 ms than in those with Pmax <150 ms (median 192.0 vs. 66.9 pg/mL, p<0.001).
The mean follow-up period was 53 ± 17 months. The primary endpoint occurred in 180 cases and the secondary endpoint in 73 cases. A broad P-wave defined as Pmax ≥140 ms was independently associated with the primary endpoint (hazard ratio [HR] 1.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–2.70, p=0.034) but not with the secondary endpoint (HR 1.96, 95% CI 0.99–3.90, p=0.055) after adjustment for covariates including NT-proBNP. A broad P-wave defined as Pmax ≥150 ms was independently associated with both the primary endpoint (HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.06–4.09, p=0.034) and the secondary endpoint (HR 3.22, 95% CI 1.38–7.52, p=0.007).
Conclusions: Automatically assessed P-wave duration of Pmax ≥ 150 ms was a significant predictor of cardiovascular events and heart failure.