Abstract Body (Do not enter title and authors here): Introduction: Established predictors of recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) following catheter ablation (CA) have not incorporated findings on post-CA ambulatory ECG monitoring (AECG).
Aims: This study examined the predictive value of supraventricular tachycardia (SVT) detected on 7–14-day AECG for recurrent AF within one year post-CA.
Methods: This single-center retrospective study included a select subset of patients who underwent CA for AF between 2015 and 2023 and had AECG monitoring within the first year post-CA. SVT presence and characteristics on AECG were analyzed.Data on demographics, AF risk factors, and AF recurrences were extracted from electronic health records. ROC curves determined SVT episode thresholds. A multivariable regression model included established risk factors and SVT thresholds, and best subsets regression identified predictors of AF recurrence.
Results: Of 7,481 patients undergoing CA for AF, 1,245 were monitored within one year post-CA. Among this subset, 439 (35.26 %) had recurrent AF during the first year post- CA. Of the 439 patients with recurrent AF, 99 had AECG monitoring before recurrence. These 99 patients were compared with the 672 patients with no AF recurrence. Average duration of AECG monitoring for the entire cohort was 11±2.7 days. Mean SVT episodes per day ≥4.6 and total number of SVT episodes ≥14.5 were significantly associated with recurrent AF (OR =1.99, P =0.030, and OR =2.77, P =0.019, respectively). Significant predictors of AF recurrence were female gender, heart failure, confirmed SVT, cardioversion before ablation, mean SVT episodes per day, and total SVT episodes on AECG.
Conclusion: High burden of SVT on AECG monitoring (defined in this study to be ≥4.6 episode per day or ≥14.5 total episodes per monitoring period) was significantly associated with AF recurrence. Longitudinal studies in larger unselected populations are needed to confirm these results.