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American Heart Association

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Final ID: Sa1030

Long-Term Outcomes in Patients with Lone Elevated Coronary Artery Calcium and No Traditional Risk Factors: A 5- and 10-Year Propensity-Matched Analysis

Abstract Body (Do not enter title and authors here): Introduction:
Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring improves cardiovascular risk prediction, especially in patients with intermediate risk. However, the long-term implications of elevated CAC in otherwise low-risk individuals remain uncertain.

Hypothesis:
We hypothesized that CAC >100 and no traditional risk factors would be associated with worse cardiovascular outcomes compared with those with CAC = 0 and ≥1 risk factor.

Methods:
We performed a retrospective cohort study using a de-identified national database with over 113 million patients (TriNetX Research Network, Cambridge, MA; IRB exempt). We identified adults ≥18 years without established coronary artery disease who underwent CAC scoring. Group A included patients with CAC >100, no history of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, or nicotine dependence. Group B included patients with CAC = 0 and ≥1 traditional risk factor. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed on age, sex, and race, yielding 11,746 patients per group. The primary outcome was 5- and 10-year rates of myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke, coronary revascularization, and all-cause death. Outcomes were analyzed using odds ratios and Kaplan-Meier survival curves.

Results:
At 5 years, those with lone CAC were less likely to have an MI (0.1% vs. 0.3%, OR 0.34, 95%, p=0.029) or stroke (0.1% vs. 0.6%, OR 0.18, p<0.001), but were more likely to undergo revascularization (0.2% vs. 0.1%, OR 2.03, p=0.047). Similar findings were seen at 10 years: MI (0.1% vs. 0.3%, OR 0.52, p=0.024), stroke (0.2% vs. 0.7%, OR 0.22, p<0.001), revascularization (0.2% vs. 0.1%, OR 2.28, p=0.019). There were no significant differences in mortality at 5 and 10 years (0.5% vs. 0.6%, p=0.27; 0.6% vs. 0.7%, p=0.21, respectively).

Conclusion:
Patients with CAC >100 and no traditional risk factors were less likely to have an MI or stroke, and more likely to undergo coronary revascularization compared with CAC = 0 with traditional risk factors. These results support CAC scoring as durable, independent prognostic test and supports its use in refining preventive strategies.
  • Kandi, Sneha  ( University Hospitals - Case Western , Cleveland , Ohio , United States )
  • Wilgor, Abigail  ( University Hospitals , Cleveland Heights , Ohio , United States )
  • Neeland, Ian  ( University Hospitals - Case Western , Cleveland , Ohio , United States )
  • Author Disclosures:
    Sneha Kandi: DO NOT have relevant financial relationships | Abigail Wilgor: DO NOT have relevant financial relationships | Ian Neeland: DO have relevant financial relationships ; Consultant:Boehringer Ingelheim:Past (completed) ; Advisor:MJH Life Sciences:Active (exists now) ; Advisor:Novo Nordisk:Past (completed) ; Speaker:Bayer:Active (exists now) ; Speaker:Eli Lilly:Active (exists now) ; Consultant:Eli Lilly:Past (completed) ; Speaker:Boehringer Ingelheim:Active (exists now)
Meeting Info:

Scientific Sessions 2025

2025

New Orleans, Louisiana

Session Info:

Imaging Challenges in MR, CT, PET and Echo

Saturday, 11/08/2025 , 02:30PM - 03:30PM

Abstract Poster Board Session

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