Abstract Body:
Background:
Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) are associated with incident dementia, but the impact of specific CMB patterns is unclear. CMBs in lobar regions suggest cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA), which is sometimes accompanied by superficial siderosis (SS), while subcortical CMBs indicate hypertensive origins. This study investigates the association between CMB patterns and dementia risk in the community-based longitudinal Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study (ARIC-NCS).

Methods:
All ARIC-NCS participants with a 3T research MRI at visit 5 (2011-13; aged 67-90) without intracerebral hemorrhage or dementia were included. CMB and SS presence and location were coded from T2* GRE sequences. Individuals were classified into one of four patterns: no CMBs, only subcortical, mixed (lobar and/or SS + subcortical), and only lobar and/or SS. Incident dementia diagnoses were defined by cognitive testing (in-person and telephone), informant interviews, and hospital discharge codes or death certificates. Cox proportional-hazards models assessed the association between the presence, patterns, and frequency of CMBs (0,1,2,3+), presence of SS, and incident dementia from visit 5 through 2020. Model covariates included demographics, vascular risk factors, and imaging markers of small vessel disease.

Results:
Among 1609 participants, 364 had CMBs (Table 1). Participants with CMBs tended to be older and female compared to those without CMBs. Compared to individuals with no CMBs, presence of any CMBs was associated with an increased risk of dementia (Table 2). Compared to individuals without CMBs, individuals with only lobar CMBs and/or SS had an increased risk of incident dementia, as did individuals with mixed CMBs, but individuals with subcortical-only did not. Participants with ≥3 CMBs of any variant had an increased risk of incident dementia vs no CMBs. Although SS was infrequent, its presence (vs no SS) was associated with an elevated risk of dementia.

Conclusion:
CMBs, particularly in a mixed or lobar and/or SS-only pattern, are linked to an increased risk of incident dementia. The number of recurrent CMBs and any SS also showed an increased dementia risk. These data support that dementia risk is high in individuals with a CAA-type CMB pattern, but also emphasize that a mixed pattern, not typical of CAA alone, is associated with a high risk of dementia. Further studies should evaluate mechanisms by which these different patterns contribute to dementia.